What's Wrong with Expert Predictions? (Cato Unbound Book 72011) by Philip E. Tetlock, Jason Kuznicki, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, John Cochrane, Dan Gardner, Robin Hanson

What's Wrong with Expert Predictions? (Cato Unbound Book 72011)

Philip E. Tetlock, Jason Kuznicki, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, John Cochrane, Dan Gardner, Robin Hanson

challenging informative medium-paced

47 pages | first published 2011

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Description

Experts must love making predictions. They keep right on predicting, even though by any reasonable standard, they're terrible at it. Many of them, though intelligent and well-informed, nonetheless have difficulty even beating a random guess about ...
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